Prediction #128
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In Politics, andrewkd postulates...
Will there be an assassination attempt on Obama within his first term of office?
Source: Obama assassination plot
I forecast it 75% likely. it will happen but not succeed
The nutbag fundamentalist, racist right will spawn at least one semi-intelligent troll willing to risk his own life to bring down a President that he and his moronic mates believe is orchestrating the world financial meltdown for some conspiratorial goal of world domination and the desrtuction of the white man.
Given the tight security around the president, it won't succeed but at least one brave federal officer will pay the ultimate sacrifice to keep us safe from these terminally stupid hate-mongers.
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Forecast
history (rollover individual forecasts to see details)
Worldwide forecast activity
24 current forecasts
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JonnyBGood forecast it as 8% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 21% | Status: Grasshopper
He has secret service
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spacewren forecast it as 63% likely, about 1 month ago
Success rate: 13% | Status: Grasshopper | My Twitter page
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JovoTheVolcano forecast it as 50% likely, 3 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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amild73 forecast it as 25% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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CuriousCrystal forecast it as 50% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 8% | Status: Chump
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aaronvsmith forecast it as 100% likely, 5 months ago
Success rate: 10% | Status: Chump
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smitty forecast it as 72% likely, 7 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
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myqute forecast it as 75% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 6% | Status: Chump | My Twitter page
Assassination attempt on Obama
Yep - there will be!
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thegreatkevste forecast it as 52% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Grasshopper
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matteo forecast it as 20% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 20% | Status: Oracle
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CarlosBozeman forecast it as 33% likely, 8 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
i doubt it
i doubt it, but i wouldnt put it past the racists in this country.
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martin82 forecast it as 24% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 18% | Status: Chump
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HHHappy forecast it as 81% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 0% | Status: Newbie
Call me NutSACK not nutBAG!
Well, I'm a nutsack right wing fanatic, in other words I'm male and LIKE WOMEN!! AND I HAVE A SET YOU WHINEY LIBERALS. (nyah nyah, You DON'T!) So the dims, I mean 'dems' won't let me join their fairy party anyhow, darn it all anyhow. (breaks my heart! After I went and learned how to hold my pinky finger out JUST right, too!))Anyhow, Obamas's main danger is from Biden, but Joe'll likely trip over his own shoelaces anyhow, so no real threat after alI guess, hah hah. (YOU voted for him, I didn't). Looks like Obama will live to be 103 after all...
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cshepherd forecast it as 25% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 22% | Status: Rookie With Moves
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okamalo forecast it as 80% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 25% | Status: Grasshopper
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kayla8 forecast it as 74% likely, 9 months ago
Success rate: 11% | Status: Wonder Child
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The group forecast
29.0%
likelihood
from
24
forecasts
The outcome of this prediction is not yet known
- Based on 24 forecasts
- Bonus for group success: 240 Future Minutes
- Ends: 03 Mar 2013, 00:00 AM (GMT +00:00)
- Time left: over 2 years
- Added: 12 months ago
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